The data are from March Current Population Survey (CPS) Annual Demographic files. All individual- or family-level data in the CPS are used with population weights. The United States' average is calculated as unweighted averages over all states in each region. CPS March data are combined with Housing and Urban Development (HUD) Fair Market Rent (FMR) data to calculate the alternative poverty line. All poverty rates are defined at the family level. (Unlike the Census definition, families can consist of a single individual.) The poverty rate is calculated as the percentage of families in the CPS that are living below the nationally defined poverty thresholds, as indicated in the CPS March data.
The alternative poverty rate is based on a poverty threshold that varies by state according to housing costs (Citro and Michael, 1995). The alternative poverty threshold is created by scaling the national poverty thresholds defined by the Census Bureau by a housing index that is equal to 1 if the housing costs in the state are equal to the national average. The housing index is calculated using the HUD FMR data from 1990-2010. The HUD calculates a separate FMR for each rural and urban entity in the state. For each state, we calculated the mean FMR for rural and urban areas separately using the HUD data. Using the CPS March Data, we calculated rural and urban population shares for each state, such that the percentage of the population living in rural areas plus the percentage of the population living in the urban areas is equal to the total population in the state. We calculate the overall state FMR as
FMRs,y = (rural FMR)s,yx(rural population share)s,y + (urban FMR)s,yx(urban population share)s,y
(FMRs,y)/(national average FMRy).
(adjusted indexs,y) = (indexs,y - 1)x0.44 + 1.
Each bar in the figure represents a percentage point change in the poverty rate for each state. The change in poverty is equal to (Poverty Rate2011 – Poverty Rate1990). The states are ordered from largest decrease to largest increase in poverty, with California highlighted in red.